The Tiny Material That Could Shut Down Civilization

Single Point of Failure

You’re late.

The morning’s already gone sideways with emails piling up, kids needing rides, and the clock running faster than it should.

You slide into the driver’s seat, press the ignition button, and wait for the familiar roar. Instead, there’s silence.

Not the faint rumble of an engine trying to catch, but instead just dead quiet.

The dashboard lights flicker once, then fade. You press again. Nothing. A bead of sweat forms at your temple, even though the air isn’t particularly warm.

You glance out the window, and your neighbor across the street is warming up his truck, exhaust puffing like clockwork. Another neighbor is walking her dog, giving a quick look in your direction. You can almost feel the judgment: What’s wrong with his car?

Your phone buzzes. It’s another message from the office, wondering where you are.

You try the ignition again, harder this time, as if force might change the outcome.

The silence feels louder than the cars rolling past. Embarrassment mixes with frustration, the minutes slipping away as neighbors glance, wondering what the trouble is.

This isn’t the battery. It isn’t the starter. It’s something else. Something so small and obscure you’ve never thought about it once in your life.

A magnet.

Not the kind stuck to your fridge. It’s a rare-earth permanent magnet.

A rare-earth permanent magnet is one of the most powerful and invisible building blocks of modern life.

Without it, the motor in your car is a hunk of useless metal. Without it, jets don’t fly, wind farms don’t spin, data centers don’t hum, and medical scanners don’t scan.

And here’s the frightening truth: almost every single one of those magnets comes from China.

The Single Point of Failure

China controls roughly 90% of rare-earth processing and a staggering 94% of sintered magnet production.

Picture what that really means: a fighter jet on the runway, grounded not for lack of fuel but because the magnets in its engines didn’t ship.

A surgeon standing over a patient, unable to use the MRI because the magnets inside weren’t delivered.

A data center gone dark, its servers idling because the cooling systems and drives can’t function without those same hidden parts.

This is the world’s single point of failure.

And when a choke point like this gets weaponized, the consequences can be enormous.

In April 2025, China restricted exports of heavy rare earths.

Shipments to the U.S., Japan, Korea, and Germany collapsed overnight.

Defense contractors reported blocked shipments and long delays. In some cases, suppliers were forced to disclose end-use details, raising security risks.

It was a reminder that the West is one policy decision away from seeing entire industries stall.

A Rare Political Continuity

Back in 2017, President Trump signed Executive Order 13817, which formally declared critical minerals a national priority and called for a federal strategy to secure them.

That order put rare earths back on Washington’s radar.

Then, in 2019, Congress followed through with Section 871 of the NDAA, which banned the Pentagon from buying Chinese rare-earth magnets for defense systems.

Think about how big that is: the most powerful military in history was told it could no longer rely on Beijing for the magnets inside its jets, missiles, and comms gear.

That same year, Trump used the Defense Production Act to declare rare-earth metals, alloys, and permanent magnets “essential to national defense.”

That unlocked DPA Title III funding and started the process of directly financing U.S. projects.

Finally, in 2020, Trump signed Executive Order 13953, declaring a national emergency around critical mineral dependence.

It told agencies to accelerate permitting, finance projects, and treat supply as a matter of security and not just commerce.

For all the noise around politics, this arc matters. It created the scaffolding for what we’re seeing now: a genuine U.S. magnet supply chain beginning to rise from scratch.

Why Reliability Is the New Currency

The magnet crisis isn’t about cost. It’s about certainty.

Western industries will pay more for a reliable source of rare-earth magnets.

Defense, aerospace, auto, technology, and energy companies don’t care if the premium is 20%, 40%, or 100%.

What they care about is that the shipments arrive. Reliability has become the moat.

And when the Pentagon itself is forbidden from buying Chinese magnets, the addressable market for U.S. producers is baked into procurement law.

So what does the emerging domestic capacity look like?

A leading U.S. miner has partnered with Apple and the DoD to recycle and scale magnets.

A U.S. recycler has signed multi-year deals with GM.

A European manufacturer is scaling up production in 2026.

And one U.S. company has gone further: building an integrated mine-to-magnet pipeline with production targeted for Q1 2026.

This firm holds mining rights in Texas, rich in heavy rare earths like dysprosium and terbium. Both of these are key ingredients that make magnets withstand high heat in EVs and defense applications.

It’s building a magnet plant in Oklahoma, complete with an Innovation Lab to tailor designs for aerospace, data centers, and automakers.

It’s already signed agreements across those sectors. And when its line goes live, it plans to produce 1,200 tons of U.S. magnets a year.

That’s not enough to meet total demand. But it’s a start. And in markets like this, starts can reprice everything.

What This Means for Investors

Here’s what fascinates me about this setup:

We’ve seen this movie before.

In the 1970s, OPEC used oil to teach the West a painful lesson about dependency. Prices exploded. Supply chains rewired. Fortunes were made by those who saw the vulnerability before it went mainstream.

Policy tailwinds are locked in. When multiple administrations, across party lines, treat something as national security, you know the momentum isn’t going away.

Demand is non-negotiable.

EV makers can’t ship without magnets. Data centers (and by extension, AI) can’t function without magnets. Fighter jets can’t fly without magnets.

This isn’t a “nice to have” material.

It’s oxygen for the modern economy.

Put all that together and you have one of the rarest setups in investing: a choke point everyone depends on, a supply chain being rebuilt at home, and a handful of companies poised to benefit.

Closing Thought

The last time America was this vulnerable to a foreign supplier was the oil embargo.

We solved that problem by drilling, innovating, and creating whole new energy markets.

This time, the lever is rare-earth magnets.

And just as fortunes were made in the 1970s energy revolution, fortunes will be made again by those who see the magnet revolution early.

That’s why Premium Subscribers: on Wednesday, I’ll reveal a company I believe is at the center of this buildout, along with my complete investment plan.

Ticker, entry price, milestones, and why I believe this one U.S. name is positioned to sell certainty into a market that has no alternative.

If you’re not a Premium Subscriber yet, you should consider becoming one now, before Wednesday.

~ Double D

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In Wednesday’s Premium Section, I lay out what we’re doing next to take advantage of this multi-year rare-earth supply chain rebuild right here at home in the United States.

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