The Quiet Boom No One’s Talking About (Yet)

There are two kinds of investors in 2025: those still clinging to the traditional 60/40 portfolio, and those who’ve recognized it no longer works.

One group is stuck in the past, holding on to a model built for falling inflation and low interest rates. The other has accepted that the rules have changed and is adjusting their portfolios accordingly.

That second group is moving ahead while most portfolios struggle to keep up.

In fact, for Premium Members, if you followed our recommendations from earlier in April, you’d be up between 10% and 19% while the rest of the market has been way down.

They saw what others missed. Paper assets that once looked secure are becoming unreliable. Hard assets—things you can touch, mine, and use—are gaining value again. And this shift is not a blip. It's a new direction for the markets.

If you’re still relying on bonds to hedge risk or assuming big tech will always deliver returns, it’s time to stop and reassess. The conditions that made those assets perform are gone. The new environment calls for a new approach.

The Backstory

Go back to October 2020. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was just 0.78%. That ultra-low rate was a signal, but it didn’t look like one at the time. A few analysts started to raise flags. They saw that inflationary pressures were building and that the 40-year bull market in bonds was likely ending.

Most investors didn’t pay much attention. The markets were riding high on tech stocks and quantitative easing. Passive strategies were still working. But a small number of people made a shift. They started building exposure to commodities and hard assets: Bitcoin, gold, oil, copper, and the companies that produce them.

It’s now 2025. Inflation is no longer just a risk on the horizon. It’s here and it’s persistent. The Federal Reserve has raised rates aggressively. Bonds have taken losses. Equities are under pressure, especially high-growth names. The old 60/40 mix is failing to deliver protection or returns.

Those early movers? They’re ahead of the curve. Their portfolios are outperforming thanks to Bitcoin, gold miners, energy stocks, and commodity ETFs. What they understood early is becoming more obvious now. The capital rotation into hard assets is not a short-term trade. It’s a multi-year trend.

Why This Is Happening

Here’s what’s driving this shift:

Inflation has changed. It’s no longer short-term or cyclical. It is structural. Wages are rising, labor is scarce, and production costs are being pushed higher by tariffs and supply chain realignment.

Bonds are vulnerable. Rising rates mean falling prices. The bond market used to provide stability. Now it adds risk.

Global politics are focused on resources. Countries are no longer relying on free trade for critical materials. They're building domestic supply chains, and that costs more. That cost is reflected in commodity prices.

The resource sector has been underfunded for over a decade. New mines weren’t built. Exploration was limited. Now, supply is constrained, and even moderate demand is pushing prices higher.

Each of these factors is reshaping capital flows. Investors are leaving traditional assets and moving into tangible ones. The result is outperformance for metals, energy, and agriculture.

The Choice Ahead

There are two directions you can go from here. You can wait for a return to the old environment—lower inflation, falling rates, and dependable returns from passive strategies.

Or you can prepare for what’s actually unfolding.

If you wait, you risk watching your portfolio lose ground. If you act, you can position for resilience and potential growth in a world that values scarcity and production.

Real assets are tied to real demand. Their value is not based on hype or headlines. It’s based on what the world needs. Gold is outperforming fixed income. Silver and copper are gaining strength. Energy companies are producing cash and returning capital to shareholders.

Commodity producers are moving from the sidelines to the center of modern portfolios. Not because they are trendy, but because they are delivering results.

What to Do Next

Start building exposure to what the world actually values. You don’t need to guess. You just need to adjust. Tilt your portfolio toward real assets. Focus on sectors with supply-demand imbalances. Look beyond the U.S. market to countries with resource-rich economies.

A practical allocation model might include:

35 to 40 percent in Bitcoin and precious metals, including bullion and mining equities as well as actual Bitcoin or something like IBIT.

20 percent in emerging market stocks with strong natural resource exposure

15 to 20 percent in industrial commodities, energy, and agricultural producers

The balance in short-term debt instruments, cash, or defensive equities with consistent dividends.

This is not about making extreme bets. It’s about reducing reliance on assets that are no longer delivering and increasing exposure to those that are positioned for current conditions.

We are living through a shift. What worked for the last four decades won’t work for the next ten years. The sooner you realign, the better positioned you’ll be.

The lesson is simple. Follow value. Own what is essential. Prioritize scarcity. Avoid overpromising assets that depend on conditions we may not see again for a long time.

You don’t need to be early. But you do need to be honest. The landscape has changed. The world’s needs are changing. Your portfolio must reflect that.

Look at what’s working. Look at what’s not. Then act.

And remember: This is not a temporary detour. It’s a new direction.

Double D

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