AI Stocks Are Exploding. Here’s What No One Wants to Hear

AI is hot right now and everyone’s talking about it.

Nearly every week you look, the leaders of the AI boom are ripping higher.

Headlines scream double-digit gains. Portfolios across the country are flashing green. The biggest fear people have is missing out on the trade of the decade.

But here’s the uncomfortable truth no one wants to hear:

Discipline, not excitement, is what will decide who keeps their gains and who gives them back.

This is the story the market won’t tell you.

Because the market thrives on hype.

The hardest trade isn’t buying into an AI rocket ship. It isn’t even selling when everyone else is buying.

The hardest trade is doing what your gut fights against: holding the line, cutting when your system says cut, and resisting the siren song to average down when your emotions are screaming otherwise.

The Boom Feels Unstoppable

Right now, the biggest names in AI are up big on the year.

That rising tide is fueling the mania and lifting sentiment everywhere.

Even for us here at Moonshot Minute, some of the positions in our own Premium portfolio—across AI, financials, and even metals—have gained 20%, 30%, even 45% in just months. Others are up more than 50%.

I’m proud of our Portfolio, and I’m even more excited about the gains we’ve achieved, but…

If we’re being honest, gains like that don’t come around often. That’s why people are glued to their screens, terrified of missing the next wave.

Now, despite the track record Premium Members have access to with our portfolio, one of our more speculative AI infrastructure plays has slipped about 20% from our entry.

Suddenly, a position that once looked like the next moonshot feels like an anchor.

The question everyone asks in this moment: Do I buy more to lower my cost, or do I stick to discipline?

That’s the knife’s edge where money is made or lost.

The Seduction of Averaging Down

Averaging down is seductive.

On paper, it makes sense: if you bought at $6 and the stock falls to $5, doubling your position lowers your cost to $5.50. If it rebounds, you’re back in profit faster.

But the math hides the danger. What averaging down really does is increase your exposure to a stock that’s already moving against you. It’s betting bigger on something the market is currently rejecting.

That doesn’t mean it never works. For the aggressive, disciplined investor who knows this is a lottery ticket and treats it as such, averaging down can improve the odds of a bigger payoff. Some of the most significant gains of my life happened because I averaged down. (I’m looking at you Bitcoin and Palantir).

But for most? It’s just a way to turn a small, manageable wound into a gaping one.

And here’s the cruel irony: discipline feels the most painful when it’s most important.

Discipline vs. Emotion

Let’s be clear about the two archetypes here:

The Disciplined Strategist. This investor sets stop-losses and position sizes, honors them, and never lets hope dictate the portfolio.

They make fewer trades, but the wins stick. The losses are capped. The gains compound.

The Emotional Chaser. This investor can’t stand seeing red. They keep buying into a downtrend because “it has to come back.” They average down again and again. Sometimes they win.

More often, they run out of capital or patience first.

Which one are you?

In our own portfolio, discipline is the difference between a basket of winners showing gains of 30%, 38%, even 54%, and a graveyard of what-ifs.

Every one of those gains came not from chasing, but from rules. From knowing when to press and when to pull back.

The truth is, nobody enjoys cutting a loser or walking away from a stock that could still rip higher tomorrow.

It hurts.

But that hurt is what saves you from ruin.

Real Subscriber Results

One of our readers sent me this note after we closed a recent position:

There’s quite a bit to unpack here.

A real subscriber, banking a real gain that’s enough to pay for multiple years of research and guidance.

That’s the power of discipline. We didn’t hold forever. We didn’t let greed take over. We took the win.

As for the question? My advice: wait. Let those profits sit in cash until the next vetted opportunity comes. And in this market, it will.

Patience is part of discipline. If you spread gains blindly across whatever’s moving, you’re just swapping one roll of the dice for another.

But in the end, everyone must decide for themselves where to redeploy capital.

What matters is that you make that decision with your head, not your fear of missing out.

Euphoria Is the Enemy

AI is real.

The technology is world-changing. Entire industries will be rewired. But euphoria? That’s just old human behavior with a new coat of paint.

We saw it in the dot-com boom. In cannabis. In SPACs. In NFTs. Each time, the story was the same: brilliant technology, revolutionary potential, and investors who believed discipline didn’t apply to this cycle.

Each time, the aftermath was the same, too: gains evaporated, bubbles popped, and the disciplined survived.

Already this year, we’ve closed winners for double-digit gains in under two months.

Most of our open positions are riding strong trends.

That’s the benefit of sticking to a system. But systems also mean knowing when to wait. When to watch. When to let a stock fall out of favor without dragging you down with it.

History is littered with people who believed a good story was the same as a good outcome. It’s not.

The dot-com, SPAC, NFT, and even crypto eras minted millionaires and bankrupted them just as fast.

The same lesson applies today. AI in general isn’t Pets.com; it’s real.

And the leaders in the space have already delivered massive gains this year. But not every company riding the AI banner will live to see the next decade. That’s why discipline, not excitement, is the deciding factor.

Systems Beat Stories

Stories sell. Systems protect.

Every investor wants to believe they’re on the next great narrative.

But the story doesn’t protect you when the stock drops 20%, 30%, 50%.

Systems do.

That’s why we you need a risk-management system to protect your capital. That’s why we don’t average down blindly. That’s why we let rules, not emotions, dictate the guidance, even on positions we deeply believe in.

Sometimes that means sitting on the sidelines, cash in hand, while everyone else is chasing the latest AI darling. Sometimes it means cutting a loser even though your gut tells you tomorrow might be the rebound.

Yes, that’s boring, but…

…systems beat stories. Every time.

The difference between a great investor and a gambler is how they manage their losers, and not the size of their winners.

And for Premium Subscribers, the premium section below goes a step further.

We’ll break down one of our actual positions and give you clear guidance on what to do next.

That way, you can see the discipline applied in real time, not just in theory.

Discipline Is Freedom

This is the part most people ignore: discipline is freedom.

It’s the freedom to walk away from a falling stock. The freedom to take a profit without second-guessing. The freedom to know that when you go to bed, your capital is protected by rules you set in advance and not the chaos of the market.

The market wants you emotional.

It wants you full of FOMO (fear of missing out) and pumped with greed.

It wants you addicted to the dopamine of watching green numbers flash on a screen.

But the market respects only one thing: discipline.

And that’s the lesson no one wants to hear while markets are exploding higher. It’s boring. Heck, I may not sell a single Premium Subscription from this essay.

I don’t care.

The future belongs to those who can stay excited about the upside while still cold-blooded about the downside.

That’s what keeps your capital intact.

That’s what keeps you ready for the next asymmetric opportunity.

That’s what turns gains into freedom.

-Double D

P.S. Premium Members, don’t miss today’s section below this line. Inside, I detail what we’re doing with one of our live positions.

🔓 Premium Content Begins Here 🔒